Summary
Web app works.
Validated with 800 users.
Dating apps have chicken-and-egg problems. I felt it could work but I knew most startups fail, and I didn't want to waste years of my life, so I decided to run some experiments to prove it to myself that it won't work.
I failed: FindYourFrog passed all my tests.
I've approached about 7.000 random strangers in Budapest to recruit them to use the app. Initially just to sign up on a sheet of paper. Then I gradually built out the web app one step at a time from signup to date planning.
Here are some of the tests I wanted to run, in order:
Will random strangers like it?
Will they sign up on paper?
What % of users will sign up?
What are their objections?
Will they sign up in the web app?
Will they fill out their profile, update photos?
Can I get 100 users to sign up in a reasonable time?
Will they actually like other profiles?
Once they have a match, will users fill out their dating calendar?
Will users pay for dates?
Will users show up for dates?
Will people come back to the app after dates?
Will people become more or less active after dates?
Will people go on repeat dates?
Can I bootstrap an initial user base to get 10 dates?
I assume a significant portion of the user base will date all their matches. Is that true?
Consequently, until users have too many matches, revenues will be proportional to user^2, is that true?
What is the cost of acquiring users vs average user spend?
I define product-market fit as passing those tests, which it did. According to that FindYourFrog has product-market fit. (I'm happy to share details.)
Hence I'm looking for investment to scale it.